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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.50+6.05vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.77+7.85vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.80+3.12vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.64+6.46vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.50+2.05vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.99-0.34vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+4.42vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University2.55-1.10vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.34+2.75vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.18-5.16vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.79-0.96vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.15-3.46vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.03-3.93vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.33-2.30vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan2.03-6.06vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College0.02-0.78vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston2.21-8.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.05Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.85University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.0%1st Place
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6.12U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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10.46Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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7.05Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.66Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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11.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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6.9Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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11.75Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
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4.84Brown University3.180.2%1st Place
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10.04Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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8.54University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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9.07Georgetown University2.030.0%1st Place
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11.7Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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8.94University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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15.22SUNY Maritime College0.020.0%1st Place
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8.42College of Charleston2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daisy Holthus | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Kate Madigan | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 10.6% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Pajak | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 4.3% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Emma White | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Darden Purrington | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 7.5% |
| Charlotte Rose | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Madeline Pope | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 10.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 15.2% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Allison Cahn | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 3.7% |
| Rebecca Read | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Colleen Baumann | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 9.7% |
| Jenna Probst | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Lauren Pepsny | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 14.4% | 56.3% |
| Liza Toppa | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.