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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.50+6.03vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan2.03+6.89vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.18+1.88vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.55+3.09vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.99+0.44vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.50+1.35vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.79+2.88vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.15+0.38vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.21-0.52vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.80-3.96vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara1.77-0.90vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.33-0.51vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.64-2.45vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-2.38vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.03-6.03vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College0.02-0.78vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.34-5.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.03Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.89University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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4.88Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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7.09Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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5.44Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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7.35Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.88Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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8.38University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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8.48College of Charleston2.210.1%1st Place
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6.04U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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10.1University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.0%1st Place
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11.49Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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10.55Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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11.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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8.97Georgetown University2.030.0%1st Place
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15.22SUNY Maritime College0.020.0%1st Place
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11.58Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Wilmot | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Jenna Probst | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Hannah Steadman | 14.6% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Rose | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Emma White | 12.7% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daisy Holthus | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Allison Cahn | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 2.7% |
| Rebecca Read | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Liza Toppa | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 10.1% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Kate Madigan | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 3.5% |
| Colleen Baumann | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 7.9% |
| Victoria Pajak | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 4.1% |
| Darden Purrington | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 8.6% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Lauren Pepsny | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 57.6% |
| Madeline Pope | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.