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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.18+3.78vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.21+6.23vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.55+4.02vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan2.03+5.01vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.80+0.97vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.50+1.37vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.79+2.87vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.99-2.59vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+2.58vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara1.77-0.07vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.15-2.33vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.64-1.61vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.50-5.74vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.03-4.86vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.33-3.44vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College0.02-0.78vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.34-5.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.78Brown University3.180.2%1st Place
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8.23College of Charleston2.210.1%1st Place
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7.02Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.01University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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5.97U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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7.37Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.87Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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5.41Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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11.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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9.93University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.0%1st Place
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8.67University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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10.39Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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7.26Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.14Georgetown University2.030.0%1st Place
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11.56Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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15.22SUNY Maritime College0.020.0%1st Place
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11.59Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Steadman | 16.1% | 15.3% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liza Toppa | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Charlotte Rose | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Jenna Probst | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Daisy Holthus | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Allison Cahn | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 2.6% |
| Emma White | 13.2% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Darden Purrington | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 8.4% |
| Kate Madigan | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 2.4% |
| Rebecca Read | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Victoria Pajak | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 4.9% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Colleen Baumann | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 8.8% |
| Lauren Pepsny | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 58.0% |
| Madeline Pope | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.