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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.15+7.39vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.50+5.16vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.50+4.21vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.99+1.55vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan2.03+3.76vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.18-0.96vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.80-0.91vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.79+1.71vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University2.55-1.80vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.33+1.52vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.64-0.43vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.03-3.06vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.34-1.26vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.21-5.59vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara1.77-5.04vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-4.46vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.02-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.39University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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7.16Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.21Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.55Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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8.76University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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5.04Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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6.09U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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9.71Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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7.2Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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11.52Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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10.57Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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8.94Georgetown University2.030.0%1st Place
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11.74Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
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8.41College of Charleston2.210.1%1st Place
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9.96University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.0%1st Place
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11.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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15.2SUNY Maritime College0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Read | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Daisy Holthus | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Emma White | 11.8% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jenna Probst | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Hannah Steadman | 14.0% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Allison Cahn | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 3.0% |
| Charlotte Rose | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Colleen Baumann | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 7.4% |
| Victoria Pajak | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 4.6% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Madeline Pope | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 9.4% |
| Liza Toppa | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Kate Madigan | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 2.9% |
| Darden Purrington | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 8.2% |
| Lauren Pepsny | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 11.9% | 58.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.