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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+10.12vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.50+5.13vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.34+8.47vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.64+6.46vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.50+1.99vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.18-1.00vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.80-0.92vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.15+0.31vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.79+1.08vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.21-1.87vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.99-5.40vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University2.55-5.00vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University1.86-3.21vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara1.77-3.87vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan2.03-6.10vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.33-4.36vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.03-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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7.13Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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11.47Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
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10.46Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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6.99Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.0Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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6.08U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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8.31University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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10.08Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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8.13College of Charleston2.210.1%1st Place
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5.6Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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7.0Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.79Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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10.13University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.0%1st Place
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8.9University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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11.64Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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15.15SUNY Maritime College0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darden Purrington | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 7.7% |
| Daisy Holthus | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Madeline Pope | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 15.8% | 8.5% |
| Victoria Pajak | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 3.2% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Hannah Steadman | 13.2% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 9.8% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Read | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Allison Cahn | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 3.1% |
| Liza Toppa | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Emma White | 14.2% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte Rose | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Riley Kloc | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% |
| Kate Madigan | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 2.9% |
| Jenna Probst | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Colleen Baumann | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 8.5% |
| Maura King | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 12.9% | 57.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.