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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University0.93+2.82vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56+2.92vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.70+1.49vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.60+0.65vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.00-0.95vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.10-0.25vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.11-0.77vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.46-3.08vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.83-1.34vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.34-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82Cornell University0.9319.0%1st Place
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4.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.5611.2%1st Place
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4.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.7013.6%1st Place
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4.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.6011.8%1st Place
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4.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.0016.4%1st Place
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5.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.107.1%1st Place
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6.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.115.5%1st Place
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4.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.4610.9%1st Place
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7.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.832.9%1st Place
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8.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.341.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boris Bialer | 19.0% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Brook Wood | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
| Finn Palermo | 13.6% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Sam Carson | 11.8% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 16.4% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Simon Hammarlund | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 5.1% |
| Simona Esposito | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 8.3% |
| Dante Garcia | 10.9% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 2.1% |
| Tucker Rose | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 25.7% | 27.0% |
| Jack Carter | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 17.8% | 51.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.