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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.99+4.35vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.15+6.47vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.18+1.88vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.64+6.45vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan2.03+3.76vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.55+1.18vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.86+2.66vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.50-0.96vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.77+1.17vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.33+1.50vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.80-4.80vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.20-3.65vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-1.44vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.34-2.29vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College0.02+0.03vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.79-6.08vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston2.64-10.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.35Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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8.47University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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4.88Brown University3.180.2%1st Place
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10.45Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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8.76University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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7.18Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.66Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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7.04Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.17University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.0%1st Place
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11.5Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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6.2U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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8.35Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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11.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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11.71Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
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15.03SUNY Maritime College0.020.0%1st Place
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9.92Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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6.77College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma White | 14.5% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Read | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Hannah Steadman | 15.4% | 14.5% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Pajak | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 4.6% |
| Jenna Probst | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Charlotte Rose | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Riley Kloc | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 1.9% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Kate Madigan | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 3.5% |
| Colleen Baumann | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 7.6% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 11.4% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Darden Purrington | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 8.6% |
| Madeline Pope | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 15.3% | 9.5% |
| Lauren Pepsny | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 13.2% | 56.8% |
| Allison Cahn | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 3.3% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 7.4% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.