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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.99+4.35vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.20+6.20vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.18+1.90vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.80+2.19vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.64+1.53vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.33+5.79vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.79+2.91vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University2.55-1.10vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.15-0.34vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.64+0.33vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan2.03-1.95vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.34-0.54vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University1.86-3.25vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara1.77-3.87vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.50-7.85vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-4.48vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.02-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.35Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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8.2Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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4.9Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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6.19U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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6.53College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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11.79Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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9.91Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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6.9Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.66University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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10.33Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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9.05University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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11.46Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
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9.75Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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10.13University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.0%1st Place
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7.15Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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11.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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15.19SUNY Maritime College0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma White | 14.3% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Steadman | 13.9% | 15.5% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Colleen Baumann | 2.8% | 0.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 9.8% |
| Allison Cahn | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 2.7% |
| Charlotte Rose | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Rebecca Read | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Victoria Pajak | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 3.9% |
| Jenna Probst | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Madeline Pope | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 12.5% | 15.8% | 7.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 3.3% |
| Kate Madigan | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 3.1% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Darden Purrington | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 7.4% |
| Lauren Pepsny | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 12.2% | 58.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.