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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.69+8.93vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.79+7.73vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.15+5.34vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.18+0.80vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.20+3.03vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan2.03+3.03vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.80-1.01vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+3.05vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.33+2.68vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.50-3.06vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University2.55-3.96vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.64-1.74vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.99-7.55vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara1.77-3.99vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.34-3.61vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.21-7.76vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.02-1.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.93Georgetown University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.73Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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8.34University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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4.8Brown University3.180.2%1st Place
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8.03Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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9.03University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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5.99U. S. Naval Academy2.800.1%1st Place
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11.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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11.68Old Dominion University1.330.0%1st Place
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6.94Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.04Jacksonville University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.26Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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5.45Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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10.01University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.0%1st Place
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11.39Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
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8.24College of Charleston2.210.0%1st Place
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15.1SUNY Maritime College0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Sailer | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 3.3% |
| Allison Cahn | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 2.8% |
| Rebecca Read | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Hannah Steadman | 16.5% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Jenna Probst | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Olivia de Olazarra | 10.4% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Darden Purrington | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 8.3% |
| Colleen Baumann | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 8.7% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Charlotte Rose | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Victoria Pajak | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 3.7% |
| Emma White | 13.3% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kate Madigan | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 3.1% |
| Madeline Pope | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 15.0% | 7.8% |
| Liza Toppa | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Lauren Pepsny | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 12.5% | 56.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.