Race 1A

lark-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Gabriel Hannon 17.4% 17.5% 15.8% 16.1% 13.1% 9.1% 7.8% 3.0% 0.2%
Ryutaro Sochi 17.4% 20.5% 18.3% 16.4% 13.0% 7.3% 4.9% 1.9% 0.3%
Wells Drayton 18.2% 15.6% 16.7% 15.6% 12.9% 11.3% 6.4% 3.2% 0.1%
Evan Robison 9.2% 10.9% 10.3% 14.0% 14.2% 14.7% 15.4% 9.3% 2.0%
Matthew Schryver 19.3% 19.9% 14.5% 13.6% 12.5% 9.6% 6.8% 3.1% 0.7%
Emery Wallace 8.1% 6.7% 11.0% 10.5% 13.3% 17.4% 16.2% 14.0% 2.8%
Allison DeLuca 5.4% 4.7% 6.9% 8.4% 11.1% 16.1% 20.1% 20.6% 6.7%
Isaac Bode 1.2% 0.5% 1.8% 1.3% 2.5% 2.9% 5.0% 12.2% 72.6%
John Holt 3.8% 3.7% 4.7% 4.1% 7.4% 11.6% 17.4% 32.7% 14.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.