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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.94+2.87vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.09+1.78vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.16+0.49vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.27+1.03vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.94-1.20vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-1.07+2.37vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.94-3.12vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.75-1.97vs Predicted
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9Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.87Brown University1.940.2%1st Place
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3.78Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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3.49Tufts University2.160.2%1st Place
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5.03Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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3.8Tufts University1.940.2%1st Place
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8.37Fairfield University-1.070.0%1st Place
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3.88University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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6.03Salve Regina University0.750.1%1st Place
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6.77Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Hannon | 15.3% | 16.0% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Sam Tobin | 14.3% | 16.4% | 18.2% | 15.9% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Ryutaro Sochi | 20.4% | 17.4% | 15.5% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Evan Robison | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 17.5% | 11.2% | 2.3% |
| Wells Drayton | 17.1% | 17.5% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
| Isaac Bode | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 12.4% | 73.5% |
| Matthew Schryver | 14.8% | 15.7% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 17.0% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Allison DeLuca | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 14.9% | 22.4% | 22.7% | 7.5% |
| John Holt | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 16.3% | 37.2% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.