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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.94+2.88vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.94+2.03vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.94+0.90vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.16-0.64vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.09-1.48vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.27-0.91vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.75-0.92vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University-1.07+0.35vs Predicted
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9Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.88University of Rhode Island1.940.2%1st Place
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4.03Tufts University1.940.1%1st Place
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3.9Brown University1.940.2%1st Place
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3.36Tufts University2.160.2%1st Place
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3.52Yale University2.090.2%1st Place
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5.09Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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6.08Salve Regina University0.750.0%1st Place
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8.35Fairfield University-1.070.0%1st Place
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6.8Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Schryver | 15.9% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 18.1% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Wells Drayton | 11.4% | 16.6% | 15.1% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 8.4% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 15.6% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 0.3% |
| Ryutaro Sochi | 20.9% | 18.1% | 17.9% | 15.9% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Sam Tobin | 19.2% | 19.9% | 15.8% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Evan Robison | 8.4% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 14.9% | 17.8% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 2.2% |
| Allison DeLuca | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 23.0% | 23.3% | 6.9% |
| Isaac Bode | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 12.9% | 73.4% |
| John Holt | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 18.9% | 35.6% | 15.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.