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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.27+3.87vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.94+1.82vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.12+2.24vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.16-0.83vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.94-1.45vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.94-2.43vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.75-1.10vs Predicted
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8Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29-1.40vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-1.07-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.87Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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3.82Tufts University1.940.1%1st Place
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5.24Yale University1.120.1%1st Place
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3.17Tufts University2.160.2%1st Place
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3.55University of Rhode Island1.940.2%1st Place
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3.57Brown University1.940.2%1st Place
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5.9Salve Regina University0.750.1%1st Place
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6.6Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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8.29Fairfield University-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Robison | 9.1% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 15.6% | 10.7% | 1.6% |
| Wells Drayton | 13.9% | 16.6% | 16.6% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Emery Wallace | 7.6% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 15.9% | 19.2% | 12.8% | 3.3% |
| Ryutaro Sochi | 23.0% | 20.6% | 16.8% | 16.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Schryver | 18.3% | 20.4% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 18.3% | 16.5% | 16.0% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Allison DeLuca | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 20.7% | 22.1% | 6.3% |
| John Holt | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 11.6% | 18.1% | 31.2% | 14.9% |
| Isaac Bode | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 12.1% | 72.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.