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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.16+2.29vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.94+1.76vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.94+0.66vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.27+0.77vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.94-1.43vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.12-0.83vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.75-1.13vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University-1.07+0.29vs Predicted
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9Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29Tufts University2.160.2%1st Place
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3.76University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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3.66Tufts University1.940.2%1st Place
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4.77Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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3.57Brown University1.940.2%1st Place
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5.17Yale University1.120.1%1st Place
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5.87Salve Regina University0.750.1%1st Place
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8.29Fairfield University-1.070.0%1st Place
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6.63Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryutaro Sochi | 22.0% | 19.1% | 16.6% | 16.0% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Schryver | 13.9% | 17.9% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 14.6% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Wells Drayton | 17.7% | 15.7% | 17.0% | 16.1% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Evan Robison | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 15.6% | 9.5% | 2.0% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 18.6% | 20.4% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Emery Wallace | 7.9% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 2.8% |
| Allison DeLuca | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 19.9% | 20.9% | 6.6% |
| Isaac Bode | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 12.5% | 72.5% |
| John Holt | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 17.5% | 32.5% | 14.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.