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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.16+2.49vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.09+1.76vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.94+0.87vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.94-0.22vs Predicted
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5Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29+1.66vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.75+0.07vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.27-1.83vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University-1.07+0.34vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.94-5.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49Tufts University2.160.2%1st Place
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3.76Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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3.87Tufts University1.940.2%1st Place
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3.78University of Rhode Island1.940.2%1st Place
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6.66Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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6.07Salve Regina University0.750.0%1st Place
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5.17Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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8.34Fairfield University-1.070.0%1st Place
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3.86Brown University1.940.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryutaro Sochi | 19.8% | 18.5% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Sam Tobin | 14.1% | 18.6% | 15.5% | 16.7% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Wells Drayton | 16.3% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Schryver | 16.4% | 17.1% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| John Holt | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 15.6% | 34.2% | 15.4% |
| Allison DeLuca | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 21.9% | 25.7% | 6.9% |
| Evan Robison | 8.5% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 17.8% | 18.1% | 13.9% | 1.4% |
| Isaac Bode | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 4.7% | 12.0% | 74.2% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 16.0% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.