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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.74+2.81vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.60+5.12vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.92+3.14vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.49+3.59vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston4.00+1.08vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.82+0.56vs Predicted
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7Washington College3.65+0.03vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College3.00+1.27vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University3.84-2.55vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.61-2.61vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara3.26-2.58vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.66-5.72vs Predicted
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14Clemson University2.20-2.32vs Predicted
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15University of Texas1.82-2.56vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University3.84-9.55vs Predicted
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17Tulane University1.64-4.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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7.12SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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6.14University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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7.59University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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6.08College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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6.56St. Mary's College of Maryland3.820.1%1st Place
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7.03Washington College3.650.1%1st Place
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9.27Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
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6.45Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
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7.39Old Dominion University3.610.1%1st Place
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8.42University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.0%1st Place
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7.28U. S. Naval Academy3.660.1%1st Place
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11.68Clemson University2.200.0%1st Place
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12.44University of Texas1.820.0%1st Place
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6.45Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
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12.75Tulane University1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Barnard | 23.0% | 20.2% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harry Scott | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 10.1% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Stocke | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Stokes | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mike Kuschner | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Whitford | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 9.3% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Clancy | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alan Alkins | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Jason Carminati | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Todd | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 16.7% | 20.4% | 20.3% | 0.0% |
| Caitlynn Taylor | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 12.1% | 25.0% | 30.7% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Clancy | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Schuyler Hemmerdinger | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 21.7% | 39.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.