Race 9A

veitor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Elizabeth Barry 11.4% 11.6% 12.4% 10.9% 10.6% 9.7% 9.2% 7.1% 5.8% 4.2% 2.8% 2.8% 1.0% 0.5%
Ben Greenfield 15.4% 15.7% 13.9% 12.3% 10.5% 10.2% 8.0% 5.6% 3.0% 2.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
Quentin Chafee 5.5% 5.5% 7.0% 7.8% 7.9% 7.6% 8.4% 9.3% 8.4% 9.2% 8.9% 7.0% 5.1% 2.4%
Andrew Kurzrok 2.5% 4.2% 5.7% 5.6% 7.1% 6.4% 8.2% 6.8% 10.0% 9.4% 9.3% 10.0% 8.4% 6.4%
Christopher Poole 3.2% 3.7% 5.8% 5.3% 7.0% 7.6% 6.8% 8.4% 8.8% 9.3% 9.4% 9.3% 9.4% 6.0%
Matthew Schon 6.6% 5.7% 8.4% 6.8% 10.2% 9.6% 9.3% 9.5% 8.7% 6.6% 8.2% 5.0% 3.7% 1.7%
Christian Manchester 12.5% 12.9% 10.2% 11.3% 10.6% 10.0% 10.1% 6.7% 6.3% 4.0% 2.9% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
Conor Lodge 4.6% 5.1% 5.7% 6.5% 5.6% 6.3% 6.7% 10.3% 8.5% 9.2% 8.7% 8.8% 6.9% 7.1%
Reeve Dunne 3.6% 2.8% 2.5% 3.9% 4.5% 5.2% 5.4% 7.0% 8.8% 9.7% 10.0% 12.5% 11.9% 12.2%
Will Pelleteri 3.1% 3.2% 3.9% 3.6% 5.9% 6.3% 7.3% 7.5% 7.7% 10.3% 8.6% 10.5% 11.6% 10.5%
Billy Hines 2.9% 2.0% 2.5% 3.5% 4.4% 4.6% 6.5% 5.8% 7.8% 9.1% 9.9% 10.8% 13.7% 16.5%
Samuel Ingham 23.4% 22.0% 15.7% 14.5% 7.9% 7.9% 3.6% 1.7% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Giuliano 3.8% 4.1% 4.4% 5.1% 5.0% 5.0% 5.8% 8.4% 10.1% 9.6% 11.0% 9.3% 10.4% 8.0%
Graham Philpot 1.5% 1.5% 1.9% 2.9% 2.8% 3.6% 4.7% 5.9% 4.5% 6.1% 8.1% 11.2% 16.9% 28.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.