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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University0.93+2.71vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.00+2.11vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56+1.94vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.60+0.71vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.70-0.67vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.11+0.15vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.46-1.99vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.10-2.19vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.34-0.45vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.83-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.71Cornell University0.9318.7%1st Place
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4.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.0015.7%1st Place
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4.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.5611.3%1st Place
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4.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.6010.8%1st Place
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4.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.7014.4%1st Place
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6.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.117.0%1st Place
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5.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.4610.5%1st Place
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5.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.107.5%1st Place
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8.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.341.7%1st Place
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7.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.832.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boris Bialer | 18.7% | 19.0% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 15.7% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Brook Wood | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 1.9% |
| Sam Carson | 10.8% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 1.5% |
| Finn Palermo | 14.4% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Simona Esposito | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 16.8% | 7.4% |
| Dante Garcia | 10.5% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 2.5% |
| Simon Hammarlund | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 11.5% | 5.1% |
| Jack Carter | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 18.9% | 51.6% |
| Tucker Rose | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 24.9% | 28.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.