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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+5.57vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University5.19+3.32vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston4.34+5.46vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+3.56vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+5.88vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University4.78+0.55vs Predicted
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7Brown University4.49+0.62vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy4.34+0.11vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.89-2.97vs Predicted
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10University of Florida2.84+3.97vs Predicted
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11Harvard University4.52-3.32vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.48-0.07vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.62-2.12vs Predicted
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14Yale University4.19-5.46vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.92-1.47vs Predicted
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16University of Miami3.69-5.12vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College3.00-3.59vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College3.02-4.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.57St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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5.32Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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8.46College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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7.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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10.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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6.55Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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7.62Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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8.11U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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6.03Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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13.97University of Florida2.840.0%1st Place
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7.68Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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11.93U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.480.0%1st Place
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10.88University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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8.54Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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13.53Old Dominion University2.920.0%1st Place
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10.88University of Miami3.690.0%1st Place
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13.41SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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13.08Connecticut College3.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Menninger | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 11.4% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Blouin | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Eamon Glackin | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 4.5% |
| Cy Thompson | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Fred Strammer | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Robert Vann | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Tyler Sinks | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Max Famiglietti | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 23.3% |
| Alan Palmer | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ian Holtzworth | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% |
| Coleman Bowen | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% |
| Joseph Morris | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Zach Runci | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 19.5% |
| David Hernandez | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 3.9% |
| Ted Green | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 17.8% |
| Wells Bacon | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 14.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.