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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.94+2.90vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University-1.07+6.45vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.16+0.51vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.09-0.44vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.27+0.01vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.75+0.06vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.94-3.14vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.94-4.12vs Predicted
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9Wentworth Institute of Technology0.29-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9Brown University1.940.2%1st Place
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8.45Fairfield University-1.070.0%1st Place
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3.51Tufts University2.160.2%1st Place
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3.56Yale University2.090.2%1st Place
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5.01Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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6.06Salve Regina University0.750.0%1st Place
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3.86University of Rhode Island1.940.2%1st Place
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3.88Tufts University1.940.2%1st Place
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6.77Wentworth Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Hannon | 15.5% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Isaac Bode | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 13.6% | 74.9% |
| Ryutaro Sochi | 19.5% | 17.1% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 10.8% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Sam Tobin | 17.7% | 18.4% | 17.2% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Evan Robison | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 17.3% | 12.8% | 2.4% |
| Allison DeLuca | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 13.4% | 23.9% | 23.2% | 7.2% |
| Matthew Schryver | 15.6% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Wells Drayton | 15.3% | 15.9% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| John Holt | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 17.6% | 36.8% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.