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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.39+7.90vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.13+4.36vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan2.09+7.18vs Predicted
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4Cornell University3.14+2.47vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.49+0.23vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.76+1.99vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.12-0.51vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-1.70vs Predicted
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9Hampton University2.26+0.82vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.48-4.72vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.49-2.08vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-2.28vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.63-1.01vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-0.25+1.95vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-3.81vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-6.28vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College1.44-4.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.9Tufts University2.390.1%1st Place
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6.36Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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10.18University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
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6.47Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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5.23Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.99University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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6.49Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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9.82Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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5.28Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.92Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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9.72Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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11.99Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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15.95San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
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11.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.0%1st Place
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9.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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12.49SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| August Sturm | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 1.9% |
| Clark Uhl | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 13.5% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Read | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Eli Burnes | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Carrson Pearce | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 1.2% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 12.0% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Frank Reeg | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 1.2% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 15.0% | 16.8% | 6.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 9.3% | 73.3% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 1.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 3.7% |
| Walter Gnann | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 1.3% |
| Aidan Molesky | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 23.5% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.