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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.26+8.37vs Predicted
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2Cornell University3.14+4.30vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.48+2.31vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.49+1.31vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.13+1.37vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.76+1.94vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+4.23vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.12-1.55vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.63+3.03vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-3.73vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.39-1.73vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.49-3.22vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-3.12vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan2.09-3.61vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-5.40vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College1.44-3.52vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-0.25-0.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.37Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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6.3Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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5.31Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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5.31Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.37Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.94University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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11.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.0%1st Place
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6.45Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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12.03Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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6.27U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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9.27Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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8.78Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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9.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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10.39University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
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9.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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12.48SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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16.03San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Taglialegne | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 0.7% |
| Clark Uhl | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 12.0% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 13.5% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 10.4% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Read | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 3.4% |
| Eli Burnes | 10.1% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 19.4% | 5.7% |
| Carrson Pearce | 8.7% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Frank Reeg | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 2.6% |
| August Sturm | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 1.8% |
| Walter Gnann | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| Aidan Molesky | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 20.5% | 8.6% |
| Gillian Dean | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 73.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.