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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.49+4.14vs Predicted
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2Cornell University3.14+4.30vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.13+3.43vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.39+5.21vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.76+2.65vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+0.49vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.48-1.70vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+3.00vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+0.92vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.49-1.37vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.12-4.34vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-2.39vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College1.44-0.49vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.63-2.02vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan2.09-4.80vs Predicted
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16Hampton University2.26-6.28vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-0.46-0.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.14Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.3Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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6.43Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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9.21Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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7.65University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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6.49U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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5.3Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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11.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.0%1st Place
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9.92Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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8.63Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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6.66Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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12.51SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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11.98Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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10.2University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
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9.72Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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16.25San Diego State University-0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 13.7% | 14.5% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 0.7% |
| Brendan Read | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Carrson Pearce | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 13.1% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 2.5% |
| Frank Reeg | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 1.2% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Eli Burnes | 10.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Walter Gnann | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Aidan Molesky | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 23.2% | 7.6% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 18.6% | 5.1% |
| August Sturm | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 1.3% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 1.0% |
| Adam Wild | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 7.7% | 78.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.