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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.49+4.17vs Predicted
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2Hampton University2.26+7.53vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.12+3.50vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.39+5.25vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.48+0.21vs Predicted
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6Cornell University3.14+0.50vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan2.09+3.25vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.49+0.62vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.63+3.07vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.76-2.33vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.13-4.40vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College1.44+0.38vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-6.60vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-2.60vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-5.30vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-6.32vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-0.25-0.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.17Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.53Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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6.5Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.25Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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5.21Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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6.5Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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10.25University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
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8.62Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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12.07Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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7.67University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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6.6Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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12.38SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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6.4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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11.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.0%1st Place
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9.7Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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9.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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16.06San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 13.5% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 1.3% |
| Eli Burnes | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 1.0% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 13.6% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| August Sturm | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 2.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 18.9% | 6.2% |
| Brendan Read | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 10.1% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Molesky | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 22.6% | 7.8% |
| Carrson Pearce | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 15.1% | 13.3% | 4.1% |
| Frank Reeg | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 1.1% |
| Walter Gnann | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 1.0% |
| Gillian Dean | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 74.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.