← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+5.17vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University3.12+4.46vs Predicted
-
3University of Michigan2.09+7.20vs Predicted
-
4Yale University3.13+2.56vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University3.14+1.27vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+3.83vs Predicted
-
7Brown University3.48-1.75vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+1.49vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University2.39+0.33vs Predicted
-
10Boston University3.49-4.79vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island2.76-3.06vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University2.49-3.21vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-1.60vs Predicted
-
14SUNY Maritime College1.44-1.45vs Predicted
-
15Northeastern University1.63-3.19vs Predicted
-
16San Diego State University-0.25+0.04vs Predicted
-
17Hampton University2.26-7.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
-
6.46Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
-
10.2University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
-
6.56Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
-
6.27Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
-
9.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
-
5.25Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
-
9.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
-
9.33Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
-
5.21Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
-
7.94University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
-
8.79Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
-
11.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.0%1st Place
-
12.55SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
-
11.81Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
-
16.04San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
-
9.7Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carrson Pearce | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eli Burnes | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| August Sturm | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 2.2% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 9.9% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Walter Gnann | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 1.6% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 13.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frank Reeg | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 1.0% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 0.4% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 12.8% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Brendan Read | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 3.8% |
| Aidan Molesky | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 20.9% | 8.8% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 1.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 17.7% | 6.8% |
| Gillian Dean | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 11.0% | 72.7% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.