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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.48+4.13vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.12+4.35vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.39+6.15vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.76+3.85vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.49+3.64vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+0.48vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.13-0.54vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan2.09+2.02vs Predicted
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9Hampton University2.26+0.77vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.49-4.80vs Predicted
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11Cornell University3.14-4.42vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-0.76vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-3.09vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.63-1.98vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26-5.36vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College1.44-3.49vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-0.25-0.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.13Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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6.35Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.15Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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7.85University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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8.64Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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6.48U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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6.46Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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10.02University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
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9.77Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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5.2Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.58Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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11.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.0%1st Place
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9.91Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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12.02Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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9.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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12.51SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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16.05San Diego State University-0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Shanahan | 15.0% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eli Burnes | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Brendan Read | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
| Carrson Pearce | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| August Sturm | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 1.5% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 13.8% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Clark Uhl | 10.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 3.7% |
| Frank Reeg | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 2.3% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 18.7% | 6.1% |
| Walter Gnann | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 1.4% |
| Aidan Molesky | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 20.0% | 8.8% |
| Gillian Dean | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 5.5% | 10.1% | 72.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.