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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.13+5.24vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.76+5.68vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.49+2.25vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+2.37vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.39+3.99vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.26+3.85vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.48-1.75vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+3.04vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.49-0.08vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.63+1.82vs Predicted
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11Hampton University2.26-1.21vs Predicted
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12Cornell University3.14-5.60vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.12-6.43vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-4.14vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan2.09-4.74vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College1.44-3.51vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-0.46-0.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.24Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.68University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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5.25Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.37U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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8.99Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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9.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.260.0%1st Place
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5.25Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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11.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.0%1st Place
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8.92Roger Williams University2.490.0%1st Place
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11.82Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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9.79Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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6.4Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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6.57Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.86Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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10.26University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
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12.49SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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16.22San Diego State University-0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Hernandez | 10.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Read | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 13.5% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carrson Pearce | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Walter Gnann | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 12.6% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 2.8% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 16.8% | 5.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 0.9% |
| Clark Uhl | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Eli Burnes | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Frank Reeg | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 1.2% |
| August Sturm | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 1.5% |
| Aidan Molesky | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 16.5% | 19.4% | 8.0% |
| Adam Wild | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 9.7% | 76.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.