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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University0.93+2.85vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.00+2.03vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.46+1.99vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56+0.80vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.83+2.63vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.11+0.33vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.10-1.26vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.70-3.50vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.34-0.54vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.60-5.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85Cornell University0.9318.1%1st Place
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4.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.0015.2%1st Place
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4.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.4610.8%1st Place
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4.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.5612.0%1st Place
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7.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.833.0%1st Place
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6.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.114.9%1st Place
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5.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.107.5%1st Place
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4.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.7013.9%1st Place
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8.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.342.1%1st Place
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4.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.6012.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boris Bialer | 18.1% | 17.5% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 15.2% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Dante Garcia | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 2.4% |
| Brook Wood | 12.0% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Tucker Rose | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 13.1% | 24.9% | 27.7% |
| Simona Esposito | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 17.2% | 16.0% | 8.9% |
| Simon Hammarlund | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 5.9% |
| Finn Palermo | 13.9% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Jack Carter | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 20.4% | 49.2% |
| Sam Carson | 12.6% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.