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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.10+7.02vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.93+3.16vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.82+2.61vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.12+4.11vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.20+2.63vs Predicted
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6Hampton University1.08+5.99vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.49-0.24vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.87+0.88vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.82-3.23vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan1.28+1.07vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College1.18+0.50vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-4.61vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-4.75vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-4.44vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-6.90vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.57-2.61vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-0.64-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.02Boston University2.100.1%1st Place
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5.16University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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5.61Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.11Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
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7.63Brown University2.200.1%1st Place
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11.99Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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6.76Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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8.88Cornell University1.870.1%1st Place
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5.77Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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11.07University of Michigan1.280.0%1st Place
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11.5SUNY Maritime College1.180.0%1st Place
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7.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.1%1st Place
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8.25U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.1%1st Place
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9.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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8.1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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13.39Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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15.82San Diego State University-0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Sabourin | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Luke Ingalls | 13.9% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 11.8% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Housberg | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 15.9% | 5.9% |
| Grant Gridley | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Andersen | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Jack Bitney | 10.3% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Goulet | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 4.2% |
| William Sesack | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 4.7% |
| John Ped | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Alexander Bowen | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Ben Palmer | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 25.0% | 15.3% |
| Gabriel Marra | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 13.2% | 65.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.