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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.93+4.09vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.82+3.49vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.10+5.19vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.82+1.71vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.57+8.15vs Predicted
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6Hampton University1.08+6.00vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.20+0.78vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.12-0.08vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.49-2.16vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-0.70vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College1.18+0.56vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-3.92vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan1.28-1.72vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-5.74vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-7.62vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.87-6.85vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-0.64-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.09University of Rhode Island2.930.2%1st Place
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5.49Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.19Boston University2.100.1%1st Place
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5.71Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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13.15Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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12.0Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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7.78Brown University2.200.1%1st Place
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7.92Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
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6.84Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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9.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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11.56SUNY Maritime College1.180.0%1st Place
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8.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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11.28University of Michigan1.280.0%1st Place
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8.26Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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7.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.1%1st Place
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9.15Cornell University1.870.0%1st Place
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15.82San Diego State University-0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Ingalls | 15.6% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 12.6% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Sabourin | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 12.2% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 26.0% | 14.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 17.2% | 6.1% |
| Nathan Housberg | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Grant Gridley | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| William Sesack | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 4.3% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 4.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Connor Goulet | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 4.7% |
| Alexander Bowen | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| John Ped | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Ethan Andersen | 3.6% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Gabriel Marra | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 67.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.