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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.93+4.13vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.10+6.05vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.12+5.07vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.87+5.05vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.82+0.51vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.49+0.89vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.20+0.78vs Predicted
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8Hampton University1.08+3.58vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-0.72vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-2.71vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.57+2.32vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.82-6.30vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan1.28-1.72vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-5.73vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College1.18-3.57vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-6.49vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-0.64-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.13University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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8.05Boston University2.100.1%1st Place
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8.07Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
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9.05Cornell University1.870.1%1st Place
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5.51Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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6.89Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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7.78Brown University2.200.1%1st Place
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11.58Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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8.28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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7.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.1%1st Place
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13.32Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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5.7Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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11.28University of Michigan1.280.0%1st Place
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8.27Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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11.43SUNY Maritime College1.180.0%1st Place
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9.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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15.86San Diego State University-0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Ingalls | 14.5% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Sabourin | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Ethan Andersen | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 13.1% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Grant Gridley | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Housberg | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 16.1% | 5.1% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| John Ped | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Ben Palmer | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 27.0% | 15.9% |
| Jack Bitney | 11.6% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Goulet | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 4.1% |
| Alexander Bowen | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| William Sesack | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 4.7% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Gabriel Marra | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 13.1% | 66.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.