← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island2.93+4.32vs Predicted
-
2Boston University2.60+4.47vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University2.49+3.99vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University2.82+1.97vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12+3.17vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.12+2.57vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University1.87+2.33vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University0.83+4.57vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-2.86vs Predicted
-
10Yale University2.82-4.20vs Predicted
-
11Brown University2.20-2.74vs Predicted
-
12University of Michigan1.28-0.67vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-4.50vs Predicted
-
14Hampton University1.08-1.85vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-5.27vs Predicted
-
16SUNY Maritime College1.18-4.23vs Predicted
-
17San Diego State University-0.64-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.32University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
-
6.47Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
-
6.99Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
-
5.97Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
-
8.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.1%1st Place
-
8.57Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
-
9.33Cornell University1.870.1%1st Place
-
12.57Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
-
6.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
-
5.8Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
-
8.26Brown University2.200.1%1st Place
-
11.33University of Michigan1.280.0%1st Place
-
8.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
-
12.15Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
-
9.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
-
11.77SUNY Maritime College1.180.0%1st Place
-
15.92San Diego State University-0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Ingalls | 13.9% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 8.4% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grant Gridley | 8.2% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Jack Bitney | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Andersen | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 0.6% |
| Adeline Schoen | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 22.8% | 11.1% |
| Stephen Duncan | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 10.9% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Housberg | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Connor Goulet | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 3.9% |
| Alexander Bowen | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 17.8% | 6.2% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
| William Sesack | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 6.1% |
| Gabriel Marra | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 11.7% | 68.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.