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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.93+4.38vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78+3.89vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.82+2.87vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.82+1.96vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.49+1.85vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.60+0.77vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.12+1.42vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12+0.21vs Predicted
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9Hampton University1.08+3.19vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.87-0.82vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.20-2.80vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan1.28-0.67vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-4.51vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.83-1.12vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-5.30vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College1.18-4.25vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-0.64-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38University of Rhode Island2.930.1%1st Place
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5.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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5.87Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.96Tufts University2.820.1%1st Place
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6.85Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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6.77Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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8.42Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
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8.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.1%1st Place
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12.19Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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9.18Cornell University1.870.0%1st Place
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8.2Brown University2.200.1%1st Place
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11.33University of Michigan1.280.0%1st Place
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8.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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12.88Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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9.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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11.75SUNY Maritime College1.180.0%1st Place
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15.92San Diego State University-0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Ingalls | 13.1% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Duncan | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 11.6% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Grant Gridley | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 17.0% | 6.5% |
| Ethan Andersen | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Nathan Housberg | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Connor Goulet | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 4.2% |
| Alexander Bowen | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Adeline Schoen | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 24.1% | 10.4% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 0.9% |
| William Sesack | 2.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 6.1% |
| Gabriel Marra | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 12.1% | 68.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.