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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University0.93+2.71vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.70+2.39vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.46+1.96vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.11+2.32vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.60-0.30vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56-1.18vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.10-1.12vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.00-3.86vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.83-1.34vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.34-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.71Cornell University0.9318.1%1st Place
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4.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.7013.8%1st Place
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4.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.4610.7%1st Place
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6.32Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.115.9%1st Place
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4.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.6012.8%1st Place
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4.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.5611.8%1st Place
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5.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.107.3%1st Place
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4.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.0015.2%1st Place
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7.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.832.5%1st Place
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8.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.342.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boris Bialer | 18.1% | 17.3% | 17.0% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Finn Palermo | 13.8% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Dante Garcia | 10.7% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Simona Esposito | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 16.3% | 16.8% | 9.4% |
| Sam Carson | 12.8% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 2.0% |
| Brook Wood | 11.8% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| Simon Hammarlund | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 5.5% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 15.2% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Tucker Rose | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 26.4% | 26.2% |
| Jack Carter | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 18.9% | 50.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.