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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University4.01+8.71vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+4.50vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.78+3.66vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University5.19+1.07vs Predicted
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5Brown University4.49+2.55vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.62+5.06vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.19+1.85vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-0.49vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy4.34-0.88vs Predicted
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10Boston College4.89-3.62vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston4.34-2.63vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.43+3.22vs Predicted
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13University of Florida2.84+0.60vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.48-2.69vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College3.00-1.72vs Predicted
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16Harvard University4.52-8.42vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-5.80vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College3.02-4.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.71Old Dominion University4.010.0%1st Place
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6.5St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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6.66Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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5.07Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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7.55Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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11.06University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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8.85Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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7.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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8.12U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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6.38Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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8.37College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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15.22University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
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13.6University of Florida2.840.0%1st Place
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11.31U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.480.0%1st Place
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13.28SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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7.58Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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11.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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13.05Connecticut College3.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Paiva | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Michael Menninger | 7.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Cy Thompson | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 14.6% | 15.4% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Fred Strammer | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Coleman Bowen | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 4.0% |
| Joseph Morris | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Samuel Blouin | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Robert Vann | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Sinks | 10.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Alex Olt | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 17.2% | 39.2% |
| Max Famiglietti | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 19.1% |
| Ian Holtzworth | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 5.0% |
| Ted Green | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 16.9% | 13.3% |
| Alan Palmer | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Eamon Glackin | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 3.7% |
| Wells Bacon | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 12.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.