Race 3B

north-points

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Malcolm Benn Smith 62.7% 28.9% 7.1% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Harris 23.2% 46.1% 22.4% 6.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mackey Leventis 6.6% 11.5% 33.4% 28.2% 13.9% 5.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Carrie Marshall 3.5% 7.3% 19.3% 31.2% 21.0% 11.9% 3.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Robert Beauchamp 1.8% 2.8% 7.9% 13.8% 25.5% 19.8% 16.4% 7.9% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2%
Grace DeSena 0.1% 0.9% 2.1% 4.5% 8.2% 13.9% 16.6% 17.7% 15.6% 13.3% 7.1%
Benjamin Tonks 0.4% 0.9% 3.7% 4.5% 8.3% 14.8% 17.0% 18.0% 15.5% 11.1% 5.8%
George Koser 0.7% 0.8% 1.4% 3.2% 9.3% 11.6% 17.8% 16.2% 16.9% 13.3% 8.8%
Alex Marshall 0.3% 0.3% 0.9% 1.1% 2.7% 4.5% 6.0% 10.6% 11.9% 19.9% 41.8%
Marshall Brady 0.3% 0.2% 0.7% 2.5% 4.8% 7.1% 10.2% 11.8% 15.8% 23.5% 23.1%
Charles York 0.4% 0.3% 1.1% 2.8% 5.2% 10.8% 11.6% 15.8% 20.8% 18.0% 13.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.