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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.82+2.38vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.65+0.18vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.41+0.08vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota1.57-1.22vs Predicted
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6Marquette University0.67-0.48vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois-1.24+2.45vs Predicted
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8Iowa State University-0.97+0.81vs Predicted
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9Grand Valley State University-0.71-0.68vs Predicted
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10University of Iowa-0.99-1.12vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota-1.11-1.85vs Predicted
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12Marquette University-1.00-2.91vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan0.79-7.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38University of Wisconsin1.820.2%1st Place
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2.18University of Wisconsin2.650.4%1st Place
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4.08University of Wisconsin1.410.1%1st Place
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3.78University of Minnesota1.570.1%1st Place
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5.52Marquette University0.670.1%1st Place
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9.45University of Illinois-1.240.0%1st Place
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8.81Iowa State University-0.970.0%1st Place
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8.32Grand Valley State University-0.710.0%1st Place
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8.88University of Iowa-0.990.0%1st Place
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9.15University of Minnesota-1.110.0%1st Place
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9.09Marquette University-1.000.0%1st Place
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5.35University of Michigan0.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Behrend | 16.9% | 19.8% | 20.2% | 17.2% | 12.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Spencer | 39.0% | 29.6% | 15.8% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Schmidt | 11.9% | 13.4% | 17.5% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 15.9% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carl Eaton | 12.4% | 16.7% | 18.8% | 17.6% | 15.4% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bobby Sessions | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 19.4% | 14.7% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Erik Zettlemoyer | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 19.4% | 24.0% |
| Austin Hanus | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 15.9% | 13.3% | 15.7% | 15.8% |
| Ryan Higgins | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 17.7% | 11.7% | 8.9% |
| Lucas Kieffer | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 17.4% | 15.6% | 13.7% |
| Victor Nartovich | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 16.5% | 18.2% | 19.0% |
| Nicholas Carney | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 17.5% | 17.8% |
| Harrison George | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 15.9% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.