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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.65+1.21vs Predicted
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2Marquette University0.67+3.53vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.82+0.37vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota1.57-0.21vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-1.11+3.18vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.41-2.93vs Predicted
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8Iowa State University-0.97+0.78vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan0.79-3.75vs Predicted
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10Grand Valley State University-0.71-1.67vs Predicted
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11Marquette University-1.00-2.08vs Predicted
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12University of Iowa-0.99-2.96vs Predicted
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13University of Illinois-1.24-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21University of Wisconsin2.650.4%1st Place
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5.53Marquette University0.670.0%1st Place
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3.37University of Wisconsin1.820.2%1st Place
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3.79University of Minnesota1.570.1%1st Place
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9.18University of Minnesota-1.110.0%1st Place
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4.07University of Wisconsin1.410.1%1st Place
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8.78Iowa State University-0.970.0%1st Place
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5.25University of Michigan0.790.1%1st Place
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8.33Grand Valley State University-0.710.0%1st Place
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8.92Marquette University-1.000.0%1st Place
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9.04University of Iowa-0.990.0%1st Place
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9.53University of Illinois-1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Spencer | 38.4% | 29.2% | 15.9% | 10.1% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bobby Sessions | 4.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 16.4% | 18.0% | 15.2% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jack Behrend | 19.5% | 16.5% | 19.8% | 16.6% | 14.1% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carl Eaton | 12.5% | 16.6% | 17.6% | 19.7% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victor Nartovich | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 18.2% | 20.6% |
| Patrick Schmidt | 11.8% | 14.4% | 15.6% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 12.5% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hanus | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 16.3% | 14.6% |
| Harrison George | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 15.9% | 13.8% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Higgins | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 8.7% |
| Nicholas Carney | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 16.0% | 17.0% | 16.8% | 14.8% |
| Lucas Kieffer | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 16.5% | 16.8% |
| Erik Zettlemoyer | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 17.0% | 18.8% | 24.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.