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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University0.93+2.75vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.83+5.65vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.70+1.49vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.10+1.81vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.46+0.07vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56-1.19vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.60-2.42vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.00-3.91vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.34-0.47vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.11-3.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75Cornell University0.9319.4%1st Place
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7.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.833.3%1st Place
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4.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.7012.8%1st Place
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5.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.106.5%1st Place
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5.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.469.7%1st Place
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4.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.5611.8%1st Place
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4.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.6012.9%1st Place
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4.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.0016.6%1st Place
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8.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.341.1%1st Place
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6.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.115.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boris Bialer | 19.4% | 18.1% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Tucker Rose | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 27.1% | 26.6% |
| Finn Palermo | 12.8% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Simon Hammarlund | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 5.5% |
| Dante Garcia | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 7.2% | 2.4% |
| Brook Wood | 11.8% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 2.3% |
| Sam Carson | 12.9% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 16.6% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Jack Carter | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 17.4% | 51.1% |
| Simona Esposito | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.