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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+5.69vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.89+4.39vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy4.34+5.55vs Predicted
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4University of Florida2.84+9.80vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University5.19+0.21vs Predicted
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6Brown University4.49+1.72vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University4.78-0.40vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.62+3.11vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston4.34-0.70vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.48+1.99vs Predicted
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11Harvard University4.52-3.20vs Predicted
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12Yale University4.19-2.72vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University4.01-3.45vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College3.00-0.88vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-7.31vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-4.82vs Predicted
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17University of Miami2.43-1.82vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College3.66-7.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.69St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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6.39Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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8.55U. S. Naval Academy4.340.0%1st Place
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13.8University of Florida2.840.0%1st Place
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5.21Georgetown University5.190.2%1st Place
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7.72Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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6.6Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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11.11University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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8.3College of Charleston4.340.0%1st Place
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11.99U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.480.0%1st Place
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7.8Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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9.28Yale University4.190.0%1st Place
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9.55Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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13.12SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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7.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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11.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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15.18University of Miami2.430.0%1st Place
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10.84Connecticut College3.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Menninger | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Sinks | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Vann | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Max Famiglietti | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 19.0% | 21.2% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 15.2% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fred Strammer | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Cy Thompson | 9.4% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Coleman Bowen | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 4.3% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Ian Holtzworth | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 6.6% |
| Alan Palmer | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Morris | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Ted Green | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 16.1% | 14.6% |
| Samuel Blouin | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Eamon Glackin | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% |
| Alex Olt | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 15.7% | 40.6% |
| Michael Marshall | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.