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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.65+1.17vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.82+1.36vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota1.57+0.80vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.41+0.07vs Predicted
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5Marquette University0.67+0.52vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan0.79-0.70vs Predicted
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8Iowa State University-0.97+0.79vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota-1.11+0.17vs Predicted
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10University of Illinois-1.24-0.58vs Predicted
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11Marquette University-1.00-2.11vs Predicted
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12University of Iowa-0.99-2.92vs Predicted
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13Grand Valley State University-0.71-4.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17University of Wisconsin2.650.4%1st Place
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3.36University of Wisconsin1.820.2%1st Place
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3.8University of Minnesota1.570.1%1st Place
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4.07University of Wisconsin1.410.1%1st Place
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5.52Marquette University0.670.1%1st Place
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5.3University of Michigan0.790.1%1st Place
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8.79Iowa State University-0.970.0%1st Place
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9.17University of Minnesota-1.110.0%1st Place
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9.42University of Illinois-1.240.0%1st Place
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8.89Marquette University-1.000.0%1st Place
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9.08University of Iowa-0.990.0%1st Place
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8.44Grand Valley State University-0.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Spencer | 41.0% | 26.7% | 17.1% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Behrend | 16.5% | 21.5% | 17.9% | 17.0% | 13.9% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carl Eaton | 14.2% | 14.7% | 17.8% | 16.6% | 15.6% | 12.9% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Schmidt | 10.6% | 14.7% | 16.3% | 16.6% | 18.3% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bobby Sessions | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Harrison George | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 15.3% | 10.4% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Austin Hanus | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 15.4% |
| Victor Nartovich | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 18.8% | 20.4% |
| Erik Zettlemoyer | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 18.2% | 19.1% | 21.0% |
| Nicholas Carney | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 16.8% | 15.7% | 15.7% |
| Lucas Kieffer | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 17.4% | 17.5% |
| Ryan Higgins | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.