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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.65+1.19vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.41+1.07vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota1.57-0.19vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-0.71+3.40vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.82-2.62vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan0.79-1.73vs Predicted
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8Marquette University0.67-2.55vs Predicted
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9Iowa State University-0.97-0.15vs Predicted
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10University of Iowa-0.99-1.11vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota-1.11-1.85vs Predicted
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12University of Illinois-1.24-2.49vs Predicted
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13Marquette University-1.00-3.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19University of Wisconsin2.650.4%1st Place
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4.07University of Wisconsin1.410.1%1st Place
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3.81University of Minnesota1.570.1%1st Place
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8.4Grand Valley State University-0.710.0%1st Place
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3.38University of Wisconsin1.820.2%1st Place
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5.27University of Michigan0.790.1%1st Place
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5.45Marquette University0.670.1%1st Place
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8.85Iowa State University-0.970.0%1st Place
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8.89University of Iowa-0.990.0%1st Place
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9.15University of Minnesota-1.110.0%1st Place
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9.51University of Illinois-1.240.0%1st Place
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9.03Marquette University-1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Spencer | 40.0% | 26.7% | 17.6% | 9.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Schmidt | 11.3% | 13.7% | 16.9% | 16.2% | 17.3% | 12.4% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carl Eaton | 13.3% | 15.9% | 17.2% | 18.0% | 15.7% | 10.7% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Higgins | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 7.7% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 9.6% |
| Jack Behrend | 17.4% | 21.2% | 17.1% | 18.5% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison George | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 17.5% | 14.4% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Bobby Sessions | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 15.6% | 10.6% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Austin Hanus | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 15.5% |
| Lucas Kieffer | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 17.8% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 14.3% |
| Victor Nartovich | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 16.9% | 17.8% | 18.5% |
| Erik Zettlemoyer | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 16.3% | 19.5% | 24.4% |
| Nicholas Carney | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 16.2% | 15.8% | 16.1% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.