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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.41+3.08vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.79+3.28vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin2.65-0.83vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.82-0.66vs Predicted
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5Marquette University0.67+0.55vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota1.57-2.21vs Predicted
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8Grand Valley State University-0.71+0.27vs Predicted
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9University of Iowa-0.99-0.09vs Predicted
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10Marquette University-1.00-1.04vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota-1.11-1.88vs Predicted
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12University of Illinois-1.24-2.46vs Predicted
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13Iowa State University-0.97-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.08University of Wisconsin1.410.1%1st Place
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5.28University of Michigan0.790.1%1st Place
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2.17University of Wisconsin2.650.4%1st Place
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3.34University of Wisconsin1.820.2%1st Place
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5.55Marquette University0.670.0%1st Place
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3.79University of Minnesota1.570.1%1st Place
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8.27Grand Valley State University-0.710.0%1st Place
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8.91University of Iowa-0.990.0%1st Place
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8.96Marquette University-1.000.0%1st Place
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9.12University of Minnesota-1.110.0%1st Place
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9.54University of Illinois-1.240.0%1st Place
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8.98Iowa State University-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Schmidt | 12.4% | 11.6% | 16.5% | 16.2% | 19.4% | 12.7% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Harrison George | 5.1% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 18.3% | 14.4% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christian Spencer | 40.8% | 26.9% | 16.3% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Behrend | 16.9% | 21.6% | 18.2% | 18.1% | 12.2% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bobby Sessions | 4.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 17.1% | 14.7% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Carl Eaton | 13.8% | 15.4% | 19.1% | 17.4% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Higgins | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 15.5% | 16.1% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 9.7% |
| Lucas Kieffer | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 16.5% | 16.5% | 15.8% |
| Nicholas Carney | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 15.9% | 15.8% | 15.3% |
| Victor Nartovich | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 17.1% | 17.8% | 18.2% |
| Erik Zettlemoyer | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 19.4% | 25.2% |
| Austin Hanus | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 16.2% | 17.2% | 15.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.