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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.09+3.19vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota0.34+3.94vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin2.09-0.65vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.47+1.63vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois1.04-0.69vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-0.16+1.21vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.29+0.39vs Predicted
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8Iowa State University-0.42-0.29vs Predicted
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9Grand Valley State University-0.33-1.52vs Predicted
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10Marquette University-1.21-0.52vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan0.28-4.77vs Predicted
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12University of Iowa-1.42-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.19University of Wisconsin1.090.1%1st Place
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5.94University of Minnesota0.340.1%1st Place
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2.35University of Wisconsin2.090.4%1st Place
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5.63University of Wisconsin0.470.1%1st Place
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4.31University of Illinois1.040.1%1st Place
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7.21University of Minnesota-0.160.0%1st Place
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7.39Marquette University-0.290.0%1st Place
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7.71Iowa State University-0.420.0%1st Place
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7.48Grand Valley State University-0.330.0%1st Place
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9.48Marquette University-1.210.0%1st Place
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6.23University of Michigan0.280.1%1st Place
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10.07University of Iowa-1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Miller | 13.2% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stone | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 38.0% | 25.0% | 17.6% | 9.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Sauer | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Justin Falconer | 12.5% | 17.0% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Clara Brown | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 5.2% |
| Karl Wagerson | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 6.0% |
| August Nagro | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 8.4% |
| Mitchell Irwin | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 4.5% |
| Colin Higgins | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 21.9% | 29.4% |
| Sarah Youtt | 6.2% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Sasha Wemmie | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 18.3% | 42.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.