← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin2.09+1.40vs Predicted
-
2University of Minnesota0.34+3.88vs Predicted
-
3Marquette University-0.29+4.49vs Predicted
-
4University of Illinois1.04+0.30vs Predicted
-
5University of Wisconsin0.47+0.66vs Predicted
-
6Grand Valley State University-0.33+1.61vs Predicted
-
7University of Minnesota-0.16+0.06vs Predicted
-
8University of Wisconsin1.09-3.86vs Predicted
-
9Iowa State University-0.42-1.28vs Predicted
-
10University of Michigan0.28-3.92vs Predicted
-
11Marquette University-1.21-1.35vs Predicted
-
13University of Iowa-1.42-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.4University of Wisconsin2.090.4%1st Place
-
5.88University of Minnesota0.340.1%1st Place
-
7.49Marquette University-0.290.0%1st Place
-
4.3University of Illinois1.040.1%1st Place
-
5.66University of Wisconsin0.470.1%1st Place
-
7.61Grand Valley State University-0.330.0%1st Place
-
7.06University of Minnesota-0.160.0%1st Place
-
4.14University of Wisconsin1.090.2%1st Place
-
7.72Iowa State University-0.420.0%1st Place
-
6.08University of Michigan0.280.1%1st Place
-
9.65Marquette University-1.210.0%1st Place
-
10.02University of Iowa-1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Bailey | 35.5% | 25.9% | 19.7% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stone | 5.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Karl Wagerson | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 5.4% |
| Justin Falconer | 11.3% | 16.9% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Peter Sauer | 7.6% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Mitchell Irwin | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 5.1% |
| Clara Brown | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 5.1% |
| Zachary Miller | 15.6% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| August Nagro | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 7.5% |
| Sarah Youtt | 6.5% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Colin Higgins | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 22.0% | 31.0% |
| Sasha Wemmie | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 18.4% | 42.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.