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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota-0.16+6.27vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-0.29+5.51vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin2.09-0.63vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.28+2.08vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.47+0.64vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.09-1.82vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota0.34-1.12vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois1.04-3.75vs Predicted
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9Grand Valley State University-0.33-1.55vs Predicted
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10Iowa State University-0.42-2.22vs Predicted
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12University of Iowa-1.42-1.90vs Predicted
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13Marquette University-1.11-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.27University of Minnesota-0.160.0%1st Place
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7.51Marquette University-0.290.0%1st Place
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2.37University of Wisconsin2.090.4%1st Place
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6.08University of Michigan0.280.1%1st Place
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5.64University of Wisconsin0.470.1%1st Place
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4.18University of Wisconsin1.090.1%1st Place
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5.88University of Minnesota0.340.1%1st Place
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4.25University of Illinois1.040.1%1st Place
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7.45Grand Valley State University-0.330.0%1st Place
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7.78Iowa State University-0.420.0%1st Place
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10.1University of Iowa-1.420.0%1st Place
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9.48Marquette University-1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clara Brown | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 4.9% |
| Karl Wagerson | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 6.3% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 37.5% | 25.3% | 16.5% | 10.8% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Youtt | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Peter Sauer | 6.3% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Zachary Miller | 13.2% | 16.5% | 13.5% | 16.8% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stone | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Justin Falconer | 13.8% | 15.9% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Irwin | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 5.9% |
| August Nagro | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 8.2% |
| Sasha Wemmie | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 11.0% | 19.7% | 42.6% |
| Etain McKinney | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 21.1% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.