Race 5B

pere-marquette

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Justin Falconer 12.9% 12.6% 13.6% 14.9% 13.1% 10.6% 9.3% 6.2% 3.4% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1%
Jonathan Bailey 37.4% 24.2% 16.7% 9.0% 6.9% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Sauer 7.7% 7.8% 10.2% 10.0% 9.5% 11.7% 11.9% 13.4% 9.2% 5.5% 2.6% 0.5%
Zachary Miller 11.3% 15.4% 17.1% 13.5% 13.2% 10.8% 7.4% 5.4% 3.5% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Clara Brown 3.3% 5.2% 5.4% 6.5% 7.8% 8.3% 10.7% 10.1% 15.1% 13.3% 10.8% 3.5%
Sarah Youtt 6.2% 7.3% 7.9% 7.5% 9.4% 13.2% 11.9% 10.9% 11.7% 8.2% 4.8% 1.0%
Solomon Dworsky 7.9% 9.0% 10.5% 11.3% 11.0% 11.4% 11.5% 10.9% 7.7% 5.0% 3.1% 0.7%
Mitchell Irwin 3.4% 5.2% 4.6% 5.5% 7.5% 7.4% 8.4% 11.8% 13.0% 16.4% 11.8% 5.0%
Michael Stone 5.2% 6.8% 9.3% 12.6% 11.8% 11.2% 10.9% 11.8% 9.4% 7.5% 2.6% 0.9%
Connor McColl 0.5% 0.7% 1.1% 3.1% 1.3% 2.6% 2.0% 2.8% 6.1% 9.5% 20.4% 49.9%
Sasha Wemmie 1.4% 1.3% 0.8% 1.6% 2.5% 2.0% 5.0% 5.2% 6.8% 12.6% 27.5% 33.3%
August Nagro 2.8% 4.5% 2.8% 4.5% 6.0% 6.9% 9.7% 11.2% 13.8% 17.3% 15.4% 5.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.