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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.92+4.73vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.80+8.34vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.64+8.05vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University4.71+2.28vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy4.09+3.73vs Predicted
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6Harvard University4.17+2.45vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+2.55vs Predicted
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8University of Miami3.99+1.20vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College4.15-0.48vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30+2.41vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University4.33-3.06vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-1.86vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.98-3.84vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-2.63vs Predicted
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15University of Florida3.41-3.32vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-6.18vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University3.70-6.33vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College3.78-8.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.73Boston College4.920.1%1st Place
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10.34Yale University3.800.0%1st Place
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11.05College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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6.28Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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8.73U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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8.45Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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9.55St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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9.2University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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8.52SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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12.41U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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7.94Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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10.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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9.16Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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11.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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11.68University of Florida3.410.0%1st Place
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9.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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10.67Old Dominion University3.700.0%1st Place
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9.94Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Canfield | 12.6% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% |
| Mac Mace | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.4% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Clark Hayes | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| John Stokes | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% |
| Nicholas Voss | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% |
| Shawn Murray | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% |
| Nick Aswad | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 14.2% | 16.2% |
| Scott Furnary | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Austen Anderson | 4.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% |
| Colin Smith | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| David Alfonso | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.4% |
| William Heausler | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 12.4% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% |
| Brady Stagg | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.