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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University0.93+2.77vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.46+2.95vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.60+1.63vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.00+0.13vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.70-0.62vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.11+0.20vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.10-1.21vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56-3.09vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.83-1.32vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.34-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77Cornell University0.9318.2%1st Place
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4.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.4611.5%1st Place
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4.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.6013.1%1st Place
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4.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.0015.0%1st Place
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4.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.7014.1%1st Place
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6.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.115.4%1st Place
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5.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.107.1%1st Place
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4.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.5611.1%1st Place
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7.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.832.4%1st Place
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8.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges-1.342.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boris Bialer | 18.2% | 16.9% | 16.4% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Dante Garcia | 11.5% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 2.3% |
| Sam Carson | 13.1% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 15.0% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Finn Palermo | 14.1% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Simona Esposito | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 15.8% | 7.6% |
| Simon Hammarlund | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 5.5% |
| Brook Wood | 11.1% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 5.7% | 1.9% |
| Tucker Rose | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 24.9% | 27.6% |
| Jack Carter | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 18.8% | 52.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.