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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois1.04+3.50vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota-0.16+5.26vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.28+3.16vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.09-1.57vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.47-0.25vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-0.33+0.70vs Predicted
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8Marquette University0.49-2.43vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.09-4.76vs Predicted
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10Iowa State University-0.42-2.24vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota0.34-5.04vs Predicted
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12University of Iowa-1.42-1.97vs Predicted
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13Marquette University-1.84-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.5University of Illinois1.040.1%1st Place
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7.26University of Minnesota-0.160.0%1st Place
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6.16University of Michigan0.280.1%1st Place
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2.43University of Wisconsin2.090.4%1st Place
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5.75University of Wisconsin0.470.1%1st Place
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7.7Grand Valley State University-0.330.0%1st Place
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5.57Marquette University0.490.1%1st Place
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4.24University of Wisconsin1.090.1%1st Place
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7.76Iowa State University-0.420.0%1st Place
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5.96University of Minnesota0.340.1%1st Place
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10.03University of Iowa-1.420.0%1st Place
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10.63Marquette University-1.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Falconer | 11.9% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Clara Brown | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 9.0% | 3.3% |
| Sarah Youtt | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 36.2% | 25.6% | 17.1% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Sauer | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Mitchell Irwin | 3.1% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 16.8% | 11.8% | 5.0% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Zachary Miller | 14.4% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| August Nagro | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 4.2% |
| Michael Stone | 6.4% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Sasha Wemmie | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 29.0% | 31.9% |
| Connor McColl | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 22.1% | 52.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.