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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.09+1.49vs Predicted
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2Marquette University0.49+3.62vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois1.04+1.36vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota0.34+2.01vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.47+0.75vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan0.28+0.18vs Predicted
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7Iowa State University-0.42+0.74vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.09-3.77vs Predicted
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10University of Iowa-1.42-0.07vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota-0.16-3.77vs Predicted
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12Grand Valley State University-0.33-4.19vs Predicted
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13Marquette University-1.84-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49University of Wisconsin2.090.3%1st Place
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5.62Marquette University0.490.1%1st Place
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4.36University of Illinois1.040.1%1st Place
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6.01University of Minnesota0.340.1%1st Place
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5.75University of Wisconsin0.470.1%1st Place
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6.18University of Michigan0.280.1%1st Place
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7.74Iowa State University-0.420.0%1st Place
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4.23University of Wisconsin1.090.1%1st Place
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9.93University of Iowa-1.420.0%1st Place
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7.23University of Minnesota-0.160.0%1st Place
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7.81Grand Valley State University-0.330.0%1st Place
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10.64Marquette University-1.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Bailey | 33.2% | 27.8% | 16.7% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 6.9% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Justin Falconer | 13.6% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stone | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Peter Sauer | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Youtt | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| August Nagro | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 16.5% | 12.8% | 6.3% |
| Zachary Miller | 14.9% | 15.9% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Sasha Wemmie | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 28.3% | 29.0% |
| Clara Brown | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 9.7% | 3.4% |
| Mitchell Irwin | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 16.5% | 12.6% | 6.3% |
| Connor McColl | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 8.9% | 22.1% | 51.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.