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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Monmouth University0.36+2.49vs Predicted
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2Princeton University0.75+0.93vs Predicted
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3Washington College0.60+0.20vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.53+1.19vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute-0.04-0.71vs Predicted
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6Rutgers University-0.17-1.51vs Predicted
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7Columbia University-1.32-0.55vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-1.07-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49Monmouth University0.360.2%1st Place
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2.93Princeton University0.750.3%1st Place
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3.2Washington College0.600.2%1st Place
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5.19Rochester Institute of Technology-0.530.1%1st Place
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4.29Webb Institute-0.040.1%1st Place
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4.49Rutgers University-0.170.1%1st Place
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6.45Columbia University-1.320.0%1st Place
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5.96Drexel University-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 17.3% | 19.5% | 17.8% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 25.6% | 22.4% | 17.8% | 15.0% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Henry Proud | 22.6% | 18.2% | 18.9% | 16.3% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Ian Taylor | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 15.4% | 17.5% | 19.4% | 13.8% |
| Liam Daniel | 10.6% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 15.2% | 11.5% | 4.6% |
| Edgard Sanchez | 9.7% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 17.6% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 7.7% |
| Charles Johnson | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 11.4% | 20.7% | 43.8% |
| Stephen Young | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 16.6% | 25.1% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.