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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Monmouth University0.36+2.52vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.53+3.17vs Predicted
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3Columbia University-1.32+3.38vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute-0.04+0.29vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University-0.17-0.49vs Predicted
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6Washington College0.60-2.84vs Predicted
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7Princeton University0.75-4.02vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-1.07-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52Monmouth University0.360.2%1st Place
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5.17Rochester Institute of Technology-0.530.1%1st Place
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6.38Columbia University-1.320.0%1st Place
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4.29Webb Institute-0.040.1%1st Place
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4.51Rutgers University-0.170.1%1st Place
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3.16Washington College0.600.2%1st Place
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2.98Princeton University0.750.3%1st Place
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5.99Drexel University-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 18.6% | 17.1% | 16.6% | 17.7% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 2.2% |
| Ian Taylor | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 15.5% | 18.9% | 19.0% | 13.1% |
| Charles Johnson | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 21.6% | 42.3% |
| Liam Daniel | 11.1% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 16.8% | 16.7% | 10.4% | 4.8% |
| Edgard Sanchez | 9.4% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 7.2% |
| Henry Proud | 21.0% | 21.1% | 20.0% | 14.9% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 25.8% | 21.7% | 17.0% | 14.6% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Stephen Young | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 15.7% | 23.8% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.