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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College0.60+1.68vs Predicted
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2Monmouth University0.36+1.11vs Predicted
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3Princeton University0.05+0.62vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute-0.04-0.21vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.53-0.42vs Predicted
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6Columbia University-1.32-0.11vs Predicted
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7Drexel University-1.07-1.44vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-1.98-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68Washington College0.600.3%1st Place
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3.11Monmouth University0.360.2%1st Place
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3.62Princeton University0.050.2%1st Place
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3.79Webb Institute-0.040.1%1st Place
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4.58Rochester Institute of Technology-0.530.1%1st Place
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5.89Columbia University-1.320.0%1st Place
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5.56Drexel University-1.070.1%1st Place
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6.75Rutgers University-1.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Proud | 29.0% | 25.0% | 18.8% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 21.5% | 22.0% | 18.1% | 15.7% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Zak Dasaro | 15.8% | 15.7% | 18.8% | 16.8% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Liam Daniel | 14.3% | 15.6% | 15.8% | 17.4% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 6.4% | 2.4% |
| Ian Taylor | 8.0% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 17.3% | 18.0% | 13.6% | 5.1% |
| Charles Johnson | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 16.3% | 25.1% | 23.5% |
| Stephen Young | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 19.1% | 22.2% | 18.2% |
| Jack Harrington | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 11.1% | 23.2% | 48.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.